Road Accident Modeling

Abstract

In India, the number of road crash deaths have increased by 31% from 2007 to 2017 and that of fatal road crashes have increased by 25.6% in the same period. Road crash fatalities increased by 3% in the last one year and accident severity increased from 29.1 in 2015 to 31.4 in 2016. There has been a decline in the number of road crash cases and injured persons by 4.1% and 1.1% in 2016 respectively. [MoRTH] The number of road accidents is increasing in India and it has become critically very important to save the lives of people which are lost in these accidents. To achieve this, it is important to study the reasons for accidents and also factors which lead to these accidents. Among with the interrelationship roadway design, geometry, road characteristics and accident frequency, severity etc. This study tries to do same and analyze the major accidents spots (Blackspots) on Sangli – Kolhapur Highway. Considering the above mention factor and finally propose some measures to reduce these accidents on the black spots and hence improve the operational safety of the highway. The data of the last four years is collected and analyzed using WSI Method and Blackspots are identified and ranked. The top five blackspots are there studied in detail to find out the reasons behind such high rate of accidents on these blackspots analyzing different factors contributing towards the occurrence of such accidents and suggest some measures which can reduce the number of accidents on these black spots.